About this blog

I feel this blog as a reflection of my thoughts to myself , and sometimes as a public diary, and the is my only friend to share my thoughts who says never a "oh no! ,you shouldn't....That is boring...."

trade లేబుల్‌తో ఉన్న పోస్ట్‌లను చూపుతోంది. అన్ని పోస్ట్‌లు చూపించు
trade లేబుల్‌తో ఉన్న పోస్ట్‌లను చూపుతోంది. అన్ని పోస్ట్‌లు చూపించు

Quitting Operations

Ate one Lion per month for straight 8 months. Now I am full of stomach. Can't ate more as indigestion started.
I have to keep some for family.

You are helpless to hate Chinese products. Period.

In 2014, investment by Chinese companies in India stood at Rs 12 thousand crore which has now grown five times to Rs 60,000 crore.

New Delhi: Amidst the ongoing border stand-off between India and China, the boycott Chinese goods movement appears to have bitten off more than it can chew.
Bilateral trade between China and India is worth Rs 6 lakh crores, out of which India’s exports share is Rs 1.17 lakh crores, while the country imports goods and services worth Rs 4.9 lakh crores from China.
In 2014, investment by Chinese companies in India stood at Rs 12 thousand crore which has now grown five times to Rs 60,000 crore. This is the official estimate, however, China also invests in several private sectors in India via a third country participation. For instance, a Chinese mobile manufacturing company has invested Rs 3500 crore in India via a subsidiary company in Singapore. As per some estimates, the investment of Chinese companies in India is Rs 2 lakh crore. China has invested a huge amount in Indian Start-ups in the last two years.
In 2019, Chinese investment in the Indian Start-ups has risen 94 percent. In 2018, China invested Rs 15,000 crores in India which rose to 29,000 crore in 2019. Out of the 30 big Start-ups in India, almost 18 Start-ups have got Chinese investment. Infact China is one of the most active investors in India’s Start-up companies. China has made major investments in over 75 Indian companies that work in the field of e-commerce, financial technology, media, social media, aggregation services and logistics.
OLA, Hike, Big Basket, Byju, Delhivery, Dream 11, Hike, Oyo, Paytm, Snapdeal and Zomato are some of the big and renowned companies where Chinese investors have invested upto Rs 4,000 crores.
Some Chinese products have made such headway into the Indian society that has come to challenge the existing competitors. For example, the Chinese short video making app TikTok has even left behind Google and YouTube in terms of user preference. Out of 45 crore smartphone users in Indai, 66 percent people use at least 1 Chinese app
The market size of smartphone in India is Rs 2 lakh crore, out of which Chinese mobile phone brands like OPPO and Xiaomi have captured 72 percent of the mobile telephony market share. This holds true for many other electronics sector –telecom equipment whose market size is Rs 12,000 crore out of which share of Chinese products is 25 percent
The share of Chinese products in the Rs 25,000 crore Television Market is about 42-45 percent in Smart TVs and 7-9 percent in Non-smart TVs. Similarly in The Rs 50,000 crore Home Appliances section, share of Chinese products range between 10-12 percent.
The Auto Components have a market size of Rs 43.1 lakh crore, out of which share of Chinese products is 26 percent. Chinese products have 90 percent share in India’s 37,916 MW Solar Power market. In the 108.5 MT steel market size, share of Chinese products ranges between 18-20 percent. In the Pharma/API which has a market size of Rs 1.5 lakh crore, Chinese products has a 60 percent share.
Considering the penetration of Chinese products in India and the ballooning India-China trade deficit, boycotting Chinese products seems a tough thing. Moreover, the world around is gradually coming out of the lockdown phase and getting back to start business. China too will look forward to supplying its raw materials worldwide. This actually gives a business opportunity for Indian suppliers.
(Compiled by Zee Research Group)

Relation between Stock price and option prices I understood now !

After an amount of time and experiments with money only I understood the relation between stock price and its derivative value . Also I got an understanding over the time decay and volatility effect on the option price.
 With this I suggest everyone always short options when nearing the expiry .
And the shorting is very effective than buying.

Ex: If you the stock is growing then short the put.
Ex: If the the stock is losing then short the call.

The point here is that short on the out of the money option with a good theta.
The dangerous factor lurking here is the  beta, i.e. volatility.

Principles of stock market

Market psychology:
1. If a price is heading to a strong round number then it will surely touch in no time.
2. If a price hits a round number and not moves further up rapidly it will fall to sub round number level in a short time.
3. 

Perfect couple for the Trade War

It is the perfect time that a person like Trump is heading USA to get back its economic influence and while Jinping aggressive on expanding chinese influence.
 These two guys are making the world an interesting place.
Now, the cold war is a history and Trade war is going to be on books as a mistery on who started it actually.
 I would say it is Trump who started it and the Chinese previous presidents who ignited it though their serious policies of uplifting China.

Brownian motion really surprised me when I tried to simulate Stock market

save the following code in a Matlab file and run to see the graph.

clear all
x(1)=1;
sigma=0.1;
N=10000;
for t=1:N
  x(t+1)=x(t)+sigma*sign(2*rand-1);
  %x(t+1)=x(t)+randn*0.1;
endfor
plot(x);






Later I have found an article which says The brownian motion with power Laws is more practical.

What does this say about future of stock trading

https://www.scientificamerican.com/article/can-math-beat-financial-markets/

After reading this I have come to a conclusion that I can be safe with the stock markets indefinitely.

And it is impossible to fore say the exact price in future.

P.S: Think about future reverse hysteresis effect on stock price..

ఆహారాన్ని కొనుక్కునే దేశాలు అసలైన పేద దేశాలు

మనిషికి అన్నిటికంటే ముఖ్యమైనది నీరు, ఆహారం.
ఆ తర్వాతే ఎంతటి సాంకేతిక సంపత్తి ఉన్నా అక్కరకు వచ్చేది!
ఈ విధంగా చూసుకుంటే తనకున్న 130 కోట్ల జనానికి తిండి పెట్టడం కాక ఎన్నో బలిసిన-బక్కచిక్కిన దేశాలకు మన దేశం, ఇతర ఆసియా దేశాలు ఆహార గింజలను పంపిస్తుంది.

why I believe humans are evolved from monkeys.

I observed how my mind was getting excited to the changes in the stock trends and Subsequent  reflexes on my trading behaviors.
nonetheless than any sort of monkey, no control over the thoughts, just was jumping like a monkey from thought to thought and strategy to strategy.

Mathematics can kill you!

The technology now a days has an extreme dependence on equations and involved parameters.
Just a fraction of change in a parameter computation can result in an airbus crash.
A smaller penalty value in an energy functional that optimizes a robots driving strategy can cause a fatal road accident.
An arrogant economic policy with minor change in an interest rate can potentially drag millions of job holders and their families into extreme troubles.
My point to quote all these modern manipulations in the dynamics of our fragile life is to caution the technocrats 'Code and compute meticulously' when it is to deal with the lives of human beings.
  My big worry is the Indian governments finance ministers attitude towards scientific systems that deal with macro economics.

stock market babas

Warren buffet, Rakesh jhunjhunwala are the best examples.
Whatever the stocks they buy the other individual bankers follow them.
This is how they monetize their actions to the general stock buyers who fall into the babas trap.

Theory of money and few questions

Is the worlds total money growing or inflating ?
Conservation of total world GDP cannot be possible ?
There should be some mathematical dynamical model to study the flow of money. 
How money loses its value and gains more value?

When do it gets traded?

it is a state of money transaction where the buyers optimism resonates with the sellers pessimism.

Why the Internet is still open to all countries and all people?

Who is mostly benefitted from this?
Who has the more privileges to study some section of people or countries?

Obviously it is *** for its larger Interests on the whole globe to conduct it's own research for foreign policies.

So it will be open as long as it wants.

The above statement is little outdated fact.
The modern reigning fact is that the international companies have their own vested interests on the current global consumer data. They call it disguisedly as BIGDATA. 

Rice price forecasting model

Incomplete work (continuing ) :
Rice has no primary substitute in southern India so it may not depend much on other groceries price.
Assume Rice is of only one grade for simplistic study of the case.
Let,
(r, theta, t)=spherical coordinates of a location with time 't' on spherical manifold(earth  surface)
P= Price of 1 Kg Rice at (r, theta, t)
R= Available rice at the location (r, theta, t)
Tcycle= Average total time for yielding rice from sowing to harvesting
D= Average daily intake of rice per capita


dP/dt=

dR/dt=

వృద్దాప్య భత్యంలో కూడా కక్కుర్తిపడే ...

వృద్ధులకి, వైకల్యం ఉన్న వారికి ఇచ్చే భత్యంలో కూడా ఎంగిలి పడే మన అంట్లకాకుల అధికారులు (అందరూ కాదులెండి ),  ఒక రైతు తన పొలం  ప్రభుత్వానికి అప్పగిస్తే  అంత తేలికగా పరిహారం చెల్లిస్తారా ? బాబూ నీ మాయ నమ్మ !
నేనమ్మ నీమాట ! నేనమ్మ నా వాటా !

ముడిచమురు ఎందుకు తగ్గింది ?

 ముఖ్యమైన కారణాలు ముందు క్రమంలో వ్రాయబడ్డాయి. 
1. OPEC దేశాలకు అమాంతంగా డబ్బు ఎందుకో కావాల్సివచ్చింది .(ఇసిస్ కోసమా ? ప్రభుత్వ బడ్జెట్ కోసమా ?)   
2. ఆయిల్ పై ఆధారపడ్డ రష్యా ని తొక్కటానికా ? (రష్యాకి పీపా తయారీ ఖర్చు మిగతా దేశాలతో పోలిస్తే చాల ఎక్కువ )
3. అమెరికా, రష్యా లలో  ఉన్న చమురు , షేల్ గాస్ ఉత్పత్తి సంబంధిత పరిశ్రమలను దెబ్బతీయటానికా ? (ఎక్కువ రోజులు వాడకపోతే ఖరీదైన యంత్రాలు పాడవుతాయి )
4. ఇసిస్ కు మున్ముందు వనరులు లేకుండా చేయటానికి అమెరికా సౌదీ అరేబియా ను బలవంతం చేసి ఎక్కువ ఆయిల్ తోడిస్తుందా ?
5. OPEC  వద్ద  విపరీతమైన ఆయిల్ ఇంకా మూలిగి ఉందా ?
6. వ్యంగ్యంగా , అమెరికాలో ఒకరికంటే ఎక్కువ మంది ఒకే కారు లో ప్రయాణించి ఆయిల్ ఆదా చేస్తున్నారా ?
7. విపరీత వ్యంగ్యంగా  , విదేశీ మారక ద్రవ్యం పెంచటానికి  మోడీ గారు  అంబానీ ద్వారా OPEC ని ఒప్పించి  భవిష్యత్లో పేద భారతీయుడు బిజెపి కి రాజకీయ విరాళాలు ఇవ్వగలిగే స్తోమత పెంచటానికా ?

smartprice calculation for smartphones

Depending on their features with the brand value as one more diemnsion, an n-dimensional data can be plotted as 
  feature dimensions Vs cost

After framing the functional, it requires to calculate the right smartphone model for given amount  of money around its neighborhood.

short selling means

selling for short time.

means you have to buy them back after that short time lapsed, as necessary .

అమెరికాలో జరిగిన నికోటిన్ కుంభకోణం తర్వాతి పరిణామాలు

the insider అనే చిత్రం ద్వారా తెలుసుకున్నాను . నికోటిన్ ని ఎక్కువగా ఊపిరితిత్తులలో గ్రహింపచేసుకోటానికి  అమ్మోనియాతో చేసే తంతుని  ఒక పొగాకు సిగరెట్ కంపెనీ ముక్య యాజమాన్య వ్యక్తీ  60-నిమిషాల  ప్రోగ్రాం ద్వారా బయట పెట్టాలని చూస్తారు . రస్సెల్ క్రో , అల పచినో లాంటి మేటి నటులు రక్తికట్టించిన నాటకమే ఈ చిత్రం . ఇది నిజంగా జరిగిన సంఘటన . ఇలా చేసినందుకు గాను ఆ పొగాకు కంపెనీలన్నీ  కలిసి కోర్టులో 24600 కోట్లు డాలర్లను జనాలను నికోటిన్ కి బానిసలుగా తర్వాత త్వరిత మరణంకు గురి చేసినందున అభియోగాల వల్ల పరిహారంగా మిస్సిసిప్పి కోర్టులో చెల్లించి ఆ తర్వాత  పద్దతికి స్వస్తి చెప్పారు . ఈ చిత్రంలో ముఖ్యంగా చెప్పుకోవాల్సింది మనవ సంబంధాల సున్నితత్వం మరియు కష్టాలలో కోల్పోకూడని మనస్తైర్యం .